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college football free picks. week 2 college football recap
Coal and football. That’s state Governor Joe Manchin’s list of “everything that’s good about West Virginia”.
His comment during the Mountaineers’ visit to Marshall recalls The Wedding Crashers and the main idiot’s sycophant buddy: “Yeah! Crab cakes and football …
that’s what Maryland does!”
By some providence, the two states claiming football as their specialty meet in this week’s Thursday night game on ESPN. Now we can decide once and for all
who rules the realm of natural resources: coal or crabs. I can’t support a parasitic bottom-feeder, so my money’s on coal.
On to my notes on schools’ performances in Week 2 games, with an eye on Week 3 betting.
Boston College Eagles
BC has won and covered both games at home this season, but both were a struggle. Now they’re traveling to Atlanta and Matt Ryan faces the Georgia Tech Yellow
Jackets’ massive blitz. The Eagles’ running backs won’t pile yards on Tech like they did against N.C. State, so it’s on the offensive line to give Ryan time
this Saturday. On defense, the weakened line could get exploited.
Cincinnati Bearcats
Cincinnati beat favored Oregon State by 31 points, but questions remain about the Bearcats’ offense. The unit benefited from defensive and special teams
turnovers against Oregon State, much the same way they did in last year’s win over the Miami Redhawks, who the Bearcats visit in Week 3. Cincy couldn’t run
the ball last Thursday and while Ben Mauk limited turnovers, his arm strength doesn’t inspire confidence.
Florida State Seminoles
The 34 ½-point spread was ridiculous and the Seminoles’ first half was horrible. Florida State’s poor start to the season, however, should give the school
some rare value in the weeks ahead. FSU had a 31-3 stretch against the UAB Blazers at one point on Saturday and Drew Weatherford impressed in the second
half. Here’s hoping the Seminoles’ D can reduce its penalties and running back Antone Smith’s head is OK.
Georgia Bulldogs
Watching Matthew Stafford overthrow a receiver is like watching a Reggie Jackson swinging strikeout – it hurts the team but is still a pretty thing to watch.
Unfortunately for the Dawgs, the incompletions were rampant on Saturday. Georgia has to hone its offense against Western Carolina before its trip to
Tuscaloosa on Sept. 22 if the Bulldogs are to avoid another upset loss.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Sixty-nine points and not a single passing touchdown? Georgia Tech should’ve beaten Notre Dame by more than 30 points in Week 1 but lacked a red-zone target,
as they did once again against Samford. Now the Jackets are about to play a school with an actual defense. The receivers need to step up if Tech’s going to
make a run at the ACC Coastal crown.
Miami Hurricanes
The final score was hideous, but the Hurricanes have a pair of excellent running back in Javarris James and Graig Cooper. Their ugly stats from Saturday
belie their active feet and some nice runs that were negated by penalties. I’m expecting huge numbers from them against Florida International this week no
matter who starts at quarterback, as long as Miami doesn’t get sucked into another helmet-swinging brawl.
Nebraska Cornhuskers
I’m still waiting for Sam Keller to impress me and the fact that he wears a Rob Johnson-like head wrap and lists Top Gun as his favorite movie isn’t helping.
Keller was supposed to be a strength this year, as were the Nebraska linebackers. Neither showed up on Saturday against Wake Forest. Here’s hoping Nebraska
was guilty of a look-ahead letdown, or else USC could do some major damage in Lincoln this Saturday.
North Carolina State Wolfpack
Tom O’Brien and Dana Bible must be losing their minds after having Matt Ryan at quarterback last year but Harrison Beck in 2007. The O-line and weakened
backfield won’t let the Pack run the ball as planned over the summer, and for as much chutzpah as Beck has, he proved on Saturday that he’s a turnover
waiting to happen. NC State will upset a team or two, but I’m staying away from this wild card.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
The good news is that Jimmy Clausen played largely mistake-free football in his first college start. That was partially due to Notre Dame’s conservative
play-calling but also due to Clausen having a mind for the game. The Irish will eventually do well with him as a starter. The bad news is that the offense
hasn’t scored a touchdown in two games. Public faves Notre Dame are a stay-away.
Oklahoma Sooners
The Sooners started the year as a top-10 team with a big question at quarterback. Who’s asking questions now? Sam Bradford has the touch and the receivers to
top Colt McCoy’s numbers as a redshirt freshman last year. Oklahoma has yet to face a team with a decent passing game, though, so the Sept. 21 game against
Tulsa could be even more interesting than expected.
Oregon Ducks
What’s the difference between the combo of Dennis Dixon and Jonathan Stewart and the Mountaineers’ Pat White and Steve Slaton? Oregon’s backfield duo might
be a hair slower but is also way bigger and might be just as potent in 2007 as the West Virginian pair. They exploited an overrated Michigan defense, sure,
but Dixon showed an impressive touch on deep balls.
Oregon State Beavers
The Beavers have a week to lick their wounds against Idaho State. The O-line obviously has to get it together, but Mike Riley must’ve known this game was a
write-off when Alexis Serna missed a makeable field goal. There should have been a flag on the muffed Sammie Stroughter return and that turnover cemented the
result. Oregon State’s defense is fast and this team is far better than Thursday’s score suggests.
Penn State Nittany Lions
The Big Ten could be theirs for the taking, it seems, after less-than-impressive starts from Michigan, Ohio State and Wisconsin. Quarterback Anthony Morelli
worries me, though. How many times can you hear the word “potential’ before you get fed up with waiting for results? Penn State could have (and should have)
beaten the Irish by five touchdowns on Saturday but barely covered the 17 ½-point spread.
South Carolina Gamecocks
My God, it’s difficult to like Steve Spurrier, but it’s easy to admire his play-calling after watching the Gamecocks’ relatively trouble-free win in Athens.
South Carolina’s defense was really impressive, which bodes well for its Sept. 22 trip to LSU when sportsbooks give the Cocks a bucket of points.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Brett Hodges’ second pass was brutal but he was in control after that and would’ve had more impressive numbers if it weren’t for a Kevin Marion fumble on the
one-yard line and a drop on another bomb. The Deacons’ play-calling was fantastic on Saturday and another reminder of why they’re such a great bet as an
underdog. They’ll be a heavy favorite this week against Army, though, a less attractive role for Wake.
West Virginia Mountaineers
As soon as Pat White led the opening second-half drive I suspected West Virginia could cover at -24 despite the deadlock at the time. They did, which
underlines how potent this offense is, especially with Darius Reynaud and Noel Devine sure to get more touches as the season goes on. Maryland awaits this
Thursday – the Terps are untested this year and I like the Mountaineers on whatever the halftime line is.
free college football picks. charliessports.com has the most popular college football picks & college football free picks on the internet and here is an
early look at some of the week 3 college football & college football free picks slate.
The first couple weeks of the college football season always remind me of the opening days of the NCAA basketball tournament. You have your bracket all
written up, thoroughly researched, and for one delusional shining moment you actually believe you hold a document more rare and precious than the Dead Sea
Scrolls – a perfect bracket.
Of course, it usually only takes a few hours of play to turn that pristine sheet into a total mess full of scratches, X's and seriously flawed predictions.
If the first two weeks of this football season have taught us anything, it’s that you never know what to expect. From the implosion at Ann Arbor to the
rising powerhouse in Seattle, this campaign is as surprising as any we’ve seen in a long time. But that doesn’t mean there’s not value to be found.
Now that we’re finally getting a feel for what each team is made of, the business of picking winners becomes a more precise science. But hey, even scientists
start a few fires in the lab.
Pitt at Michigan State (-9.5)
This line started moving almost immediately after it opened. Bettors jumped on Michigan State, apparently impressed by the Spartans’ 28-17 win over Bowling
Green on Saturday (failed to cover -17 ½). Or maybe they were influenced by the growing list of wounded Panthers that includes quarterback Bill Stull, tight
end John Pelusi and possibly running back LaRod Stephens-Howling. Still, you’d have to be crazy to lay this many points on a team like Michigan State.
Virginia at North Carolina (-3)
Butch Davis is in charge of the Tar Heels this year, but does that really explain how a team that lost 23-0 to Virginia last year could be favored in the
rematch this year? At first glance, this line seems a little out of whack, but UNC is a different team this year.
Aside from Davis, there are a pile of new players on the UNC roster, most of whom are too young to care about the school's losing tradition in football. That
includes redshirt freshman quarterback T.J. Yates, who’s already thrown six TD passes this year. The Heels are off to a decent start this year, including a
34-31 loss to East Carolina that was close enough to win against the spread. Virginia, on the other hand, is a mess. Any team that manages only 202 yards
against Duke won’t go far.
Western Michigan at Missouri (-20)
When a team allows 300-plus rushing yards to West Virginia, you can let it slide. When that same team gets turned into a treadmill by Indiana, there could be
a problem. Nobody expected much from Western Kentucky this year, but some semblance of a defense would help if they hope to come anywhere close to a win this
year. Considering Missouri had a pair of 100-yard rushers last week against Mississippi, a three-touchdown margin of victory isn’t out of the question for
Mizzou. This line hasn’t started moving yet, but our consensus counter shows that 72 percent of our readers like Tigers, which should send the line above 21
points before kickoff.
Ohio State at Washington (+4.5)
So far, the Washington Huskies have proven to be the most underrated team in college football. In Week 1, they were listed as 3-point favorites at Syracuse
and crushed the Orange by 30 points. Last weekend, they were underdogs at home against Boise State and hammered the Fiesta Bowl champs 24-10. Oddsmakers have
tried to get this situation back in line, making the Huskies slim underdogs against the Buckeyes, who spent most of last season ranked No. 1 in the nation.
OSU still has to sort out its passing game, but this is a defense that could bring some of the best offenses in the nation to a standstill. If Washington’s
freshman quarterback can pull out another 80-yard rushing game against this defense, then he really is something special. But it’s more likely that Jake
Locker will get his real introduction to big-time college ball this week.
Notre Dame at Michigan (-7)
This is an interesting scenario to say the least. Nobody expected much from Notre Dame after almost every skill player on offense left South Bend in the
offseason, but the disaster at Ann Arbor caught almost everyone off guard. All the talk coming into the season was about Michigan's returning seniors on
offense, but as it happens, the departure of seven defensive starters, including four first-round NFL draft picks, was the biggest difference.
This week, the Wolverines will be fighting even more of an uphill battle with quarterback Chad Henne out and freshman Ryan Mallett making his first college
start. That situation has driven this line down a couple of points and Michigan may even be favored by less than a major by Saturday. There aren’t many
positives on either side of this game, but Michigan’s defense was exploited by athletic quarterbacks the last two weeks, which Notre Dame’s Jimmy Clausen is
not. Expect Michigan’s defense to improve and the offense to run the ball and dominate the game to earn a much-needed win at home by a convincing margin.
Arkansas at Alabama (-3)
This line has Nick Saban’s fingerprints all over it. Usually a coaching change takes a while to have a positive effect on a team – not the case in Alabama
this fall. The Tide rolled over Vanderbilt last weekend in a game many experts thought would belong to the underdogs. Instead, Bama put a beating on Vandy,
holding the much-hyped offense to just 232 yards and reminding SEC watchers of that LSU defense that Saban guided to the 2003 national championship. But
Vanderbilt didn’t have Darren McFadden and the Razorbacks’ “wildcat” offense. A coach can only do so much and Arkansas shouldn’t be the dog here.
Boston College at Georgia Tech (-7)
Here’s a line that senior editor Jon Campbell brought to my attention this morning. He seemed to think that handing a touchdown head start to the Eagles was
as good as money in the bank. I disagreed at first, arguing that this Georgia Tech defense is quite possibly one of the best in the country and even a
quarterback like Matt Ryan will have a hard time marching down the field against these guys.
The important thing to consider is that BC was an underdog three times last season and they won and covered on all three occasions. They’ve also shown great
versatility in two games, going with the pass against Wake Forest and racking up 400-plus yards and five touchdown passes, and then switching it up against
N.C. State and running the ball 39 times for 231 yards. I guess I have to defer to Mr. Campbell on this one and go with the Eagles and the points.
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